Fiverr International Ltd. (FVRR) trades below the fair value estimate shown here. At $11.06 versus a $16.50 estimate, that is a 49% upside.
- Price
- $11.06
- Fair value estimate
- $16.50
- Upside
- +49%
- Forward P/E
- 5.3×
- Market cap
- $398M
- P/S (TTM)
- 0.9×
Fiverr International Ltd.
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Overview
Thesis
Key Metrics
Valuation
| Year | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY22 | – | 1.5× | – |
| FY23 | – | 3.1× | – |
| FY24 | 24.6× | 1.1× | – |
| FY25 | 19.0× | 0.9× | 4.9× |
| TTM · | 13.8× | 0.9× | 4.9× |
| Ticker | Mkt Cap | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Rev Growth | Gross Mgn | Net Mgn |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FVRR | $0.40B | 13.8× | 0.9× | 4.9× | +10.1% | 81.9% | 6.7% |
| UPWK | $1.14B | 10.9× | 1.4× | 6.7× | +1.4% | 77.5% | 13.8% |
| ETSY | $7.96B | 30.8× | 2.7× | 21.9× | +3.1% | 71.6% | 9.8% |
| GTM | $0.91B | 7.2× | 0.7× | 7.2× | +2.9% | 83.8% | 10.1% |
| CNXC | $1.50B | – | 0.1× | 5.0× | +2.2% | 34.0% | -13.2% |
Financials
| Line Item | FY2024 | FY2025 | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue Marketplace $297.5M + services $133.4M. Services is about 31% of revenue. | $391.5M | $430.9M | +10.1% |
| Cost of Revenue | $70.6M | $79.4M | +12.5% |
| Gross Profit Gross margin about 82% | $320.9M | $351.5M | +9.5% |
| Research & Development Held flat while other costs fell | $90.2M | $90.7M | +0.6% |
| Operating Income (Loss) GAAP. Improving from a $46.9M loss in FY2022 toward breakeven. | ($15.8M) | ($1.2M) | – |
| Net Income | $18.2M | $21.0M | +15.4% |
| EBITDA | $24.9M | $40.2M | +61.4% |
| Diluted Average Shares | 37.8M | 37.2M | -1.6% |
| Item | FY2025 | FY2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Cash & Equivalents | $125.2M | $133.5M |
| Marketable Securities (current) | $117.7M | $288.9M |
| Short-term Bank Deposits | $40.0M | $144.8M |
| User Funds (asset) Seller money in transit. Offset by user accounts below. NOT company cash. | $159.8M | $153.3M |
| User Accounts (liability) The matching obligation | $149.5M | $141.7M |
| Convertible Notes Fully extinguished during FY2025 | $0.0M | $457.9M |
| Total Debt A $459.0M reduction in one year | $4.2M | $463.2M |
| Total Assets | $684.6M | $1,070.0M |
| Shareholders' Equity | $412.0M | $362.6M |
| Component | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $83.2M | $83.1M | $104.6M |
| Capital Expenditure Asset-light: capex is under 1% of revenue | ($1.1M) | ($2.5M) | ($1.3M) |
| Free Cash Flow Against an enterprise value of about $128.2M, so roughly 1.2x on FY2025 | $82.1M | $80.6M | $103.3M |
| Share Repurchases $132.6M across two years | $0.0M | ($100.1M) | ($32.5M) |
| Stock-Based Compensation Down 30.4% year over year, and the main bridge between net income and free cash flow | $68.7M | $73.9M | $51.4M |
Catalysts
Risks
| Risk | Category | Severity | Probability | Impact on Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marketplace GMV fell 2.2% to $1,073.0M in FY2025 and annual active buyers fell 13.6%, so the reported 10.1% revenue growth came from spend per buyer, take rate and services revenue rather than from marketplace volume. | Business Model | High | Certain | A marketplace that loses buyers at a double-digit rate is eroding the network effect that is its only durable moat. Monetizing the remainder harder can offset it for several periods, which is exactly what happened in FY2025, but it cannot offset it indefinitely. |
| Management states that AI adoption has created headwinds for simple and low-skilled services on the marketplace, which is a large share of what a freelance marketplace historically sold. | Disruption | High | High | Writing, translation, basic design and simple code are now done adequately and nearly free by general-purpose models. The bull case needs automation to stop advancing where Fiverr's remaining work begins. Nothing in the filings guarantees that, and the company itself frames the effect as two-sided rather than benign. |
| Revenue quality is shifting toward services sold to sellers, at $133.4M or about 31% of revenue, including advertising bought by freelancers competing for a shrinking pool of buyers. | Revenue Quality | Medium | High | Seller-funded revenue can grow for a time even as buyer demand falls, which masks the underlying trend. If the seller base contracts alongside the buyer base, this line reverses quickly and the offset to marketplace decline disappears. |
| As an Israeli foreign private issuer Fiverr files 20-F and 6-K rather than 10-K and 10-Q, its insiders do not file Form 4, and only seven analysts publish estimates. | Disclosure | Medium | Certain | There is no quarterly US-style detail and no insider-transaction visibility, so a key signal available on domestic filers is simply absent here. Thin coverage also means less independent scrutiny of the operating metrics that the whole thesis turns on. |
| Israel domicile brings currency, tax and regional security exposure that sit outside management's control. | Geopolitical | Medium | Medium | These are standing 20-F risk factors rather than dated events. For a company whose engineering base and headquarters are concentrated in one country, disruption there is an operational risk that a globally distributed competitor would not carry. |
Technical Snapshot
Ownership & Insider Activity
Peer Comparison
| Ticker | Mkt Cap | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Rev Growth | Gross Mgn | Net Mgn |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FVRR | $0.40B | 13.8× | 0.9× | 4.9× | +10.1% | 81.9% | 6.7% |
| UPWK | $1.14B | 10.9× | 1.4× | 6.7× | +1.4% | 77.5% | 13.8% |
| ETSY | $7.96B | 30.8× | 2.7× | 21.9× | +3.1% | 71.6% | 9.8% |
| GTM | $0.91B | 7.2× | 0.7× | 7.2× | +2.9% | 83.8% | 10.1% |
| CNXC | $1.50B | – | 0.1× | 5.0× | +2.2% | 34.0% | -13.2% |
Research Notes
Sources
Fiverr International Ltd. valuation questions
Is Fiverr International Ltd. (FVRR) stock undervalued?
Against the fair value estimate shown on this page, Fiverr International Ltd. trades below: $11.06 today versus a $16.50 estimate, about +49%. The methodology and per-scenario sources are set out in the Valuation section. Treat it as research, not advice, and do your own homework.
What is Fiverr International Ltd.'s fair value?
The fair value estimate shown for FVRR is $16.50. Its valuation scenarios span bear $7.50, base $16.50, bull $27.00. See the Valuation section for the basis of each.
What is Fiverr International Ltd.'s forward P/E ratio?
Fiverr International Ltd. (FVRR) trades at a forward P/E of 5.3×, and 0.9× trailing sales.
What is Fiverr International Ltd.'s market cap?
Fiverr International Ltd. (FVRR) has a market capitalization (its market value, often searched as "net worth") of $398M, and an enterprise value of $128M.
What is the bull and bear case for FVRR?
Valuation scenarios: bull $27.00, base $16.50, bear $7.50. Each reflects a distinct set of assumptions; the drivers and sources are detailed in the Valuation section above.