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PagSeguro Digital (PAGS) valuation at a glance

PagSeguro Digital (PAGS) trades below the fair value estimate shown here. At $9.73 versus a $11.27 estimate, that is a 16% upside.

Price
$9.73
Fair value estimate
$11.27
Upside
+16%
Market cap
$2.70B
P/S (TTM)
0.7×
PAGS

PagSeguro Digital

Financial ServicesPaymentsDigital bankingBrazilReports in reaisNo EBITDA disclosed

Overview

$9.73-2.3%
Compare
Market Cap
$2.70B
SEC filings
P/E (TTM)
6.9×
SEC filings
Rev Growth YoY
8.5%
+8.5%SEC filings
Gross Margin
[awaiting: no cost of sales line was established in this pass]
SEC filings
FCF Yield
[awaiting: no cash flow statement was established in this pass]
Calculated from SEC filings
Upside to FV
+15.8%
internal, recomputed from those two filings
Conviction
1/5
The FY2025 top line grew 8.5% while the payments business inside it shrank: transaction activities and other services fell 11.2% to R$8,158,654 thousand and financial income rose 26.6% to R$11,584,606 thousand, leaving net income flat at R$2,118,362 thousand against R$2,116,368 thousand a year earlier.
Research Depth
ScreeningDeep ResearchFull Model
Updated 7d ago
Quality Snowflake
Overall 80/100
ValueFuturePastHealthDividend
Value3/3
Future1/2
Past2/2
Health1/2
Dividend3/3
Each axis scores the checks for which data is available (filled = pass, hollow = no data). Computed from the sourced metrics on this page, not a third-party rating.

Thesis

PagSeguro's FY2025 revenue and income of R$20,410,512 thousand was 8.5% above the R$18,809,632 thousand of FY2024, and that headline hides the finding on this page. Financial income rose 26.6%, from R$9,150,427 thousand to R$11,584,606 thousand, an increase of R$2,434,179 thousand. Transaction activities and other services, the payments business the company is named for, fell 11.2%, from R$9,183,282 thousand to R$8,158,654 thousand, a decrease of R$1,024,628 thousand. The financial income increase alone is 152% of the increase in the total. Financial income was 48.6% of revenue in FY2024 and 56.8% in FY2025, so within one year the company moved from roughly half its top line arising from lending and treasury to more than half. Net income did not follow the top line in either direction: R$2,118,362 thousand in FY2025 against R$2,116,368 thousand in FY2024, a rise of 0.09%. Trailing twelve months to 30 June 2026, built as FY2025 less the first half of 2025 plus the first half of 2026, revenue is R$20,588,036 thousand and net income R$2,151,112 thousand, a net margin of 10.448%. Translated at R$5.5024 that is US$3,741.6M of revenue and US$390.9M of net income against a market capitalisation of US$2,700.2M on 277,516,777 shares, so 6.9 times earnings, 0.72 times sales, and 0.99 times the US$2,729.0M of book equity reported at 30 June 2026. The company is cheap on those three measures. What a buyer is paying that price for is a Brazilian bank whose spread income is growing and whose merchant acquiring line is shrinking, not a payments processor growing 8.5%.
Bull Case
Priced below bookTotal equity at 30 June 2026 was R$15,015,865 thousand, US$2,729.0M at R$5.5024, or US$9.83 a share on 277,516,777 shares. The price is US$9.73, so 0.99 times book. The assets behind that book are a bank balance sheet of R$75,697,476 thousand rather than goodwill.
Earnings did not fallNet income was R$2,118,362 thousand in FY2025 against R$2,116,368 thousand in FY2024, and R$1,094,601 thousand in the first half of 2026 against R$1,061,851 thousand in the first half of 2025. Through a year in which the payments line fell 11.2%, the bottom line was flat and then slightly up.
Earnings per share is rising faster than earningsFirst half 2026 net income rose 3.08% over the first half of 2025 while basic earnings per share rose 11.52%, from R$3.5320 to R$3.9388. The gap is the share count. Note 33 of the FY2025 20-F, on subsequent events, describes a cancellation, and the count fell far enough to add roughly eight points of per share growth in six months.
Financial income is growing at 26.6%Financial income went from R$9,150,427 thousand to R$11,584,606 thousand in FY2025. Read as a bear point below because of what it displaces, it is nonetheless the fastest growing revenue line the company has, and it is the line a Brazilian rate environment feeds.
Seven times earnings on a flat yearUS$2,700.2M of market capitalisation against US$390.9M of trailing net income is 6.9 times. The multiple does not require the payments line to recover; it requires the bottom line to stay where it has been for two years.
Bear Case
The payments line is shrinkingTransaction activities and other services fell from R$9,183,282 thousand to R$8,158,654 thousand, down 11.2% and down R$1,024,628 thousand in one year. This is the business the market values the company as. Nothing in the verified figures marks a turn.
The growth is spread incomeFinancial income supplied R$2,434,179 thousand of increase against a total increase of R$1,600,880 thousand, so 152% of the growth. A company whose reported growth is entirely a lending and treasury result is exposed to the rate cycle in a way an acquirer is not, and it should not be paid an acquirer's multiple for it.
Net income has been flat for two yearsR$2,116,368 thousand then R$2,118,362 thousand, a difference of R$1,994 thousand on a base above R$2bn. The mix shifted materially and the profit did not move, which means the new revenue arrived at a margin that offset what the old revenue lost.
No EBITDA and no meaningful enterprise valueThe FY2025 20-F reports no EBITDA anywhere as a financial measure. Total assets of R$75,697,476 thousand sit against equity of R$15,015,865 thousand at 30 June 2026, so R$60,681,611 thousand of liabilities, which for a bank are deposits and funding rather than debt to be netted against cash. Every EV/EBITDA figure ever published on this company was constructed outside the filings.
The equity is 20% of the balance sheetAssets are 5.04 times equity at 30 June 2026 and were 5.08 times at 31 December 2025. A credit cycle reaches the equity through a loan book, and the verified figures on this page do not include the loan book, its provisions or its arrears.
Everything is in reaisRevenue, earnings and book value are all Brazilian reais translated here at a single rate, R$5.5024, that the company states for 31 December 2025. A US holder's return is the company's result multiplied by a currency move that no figure on this page forecasts.

Key Metrics

Market Cap
$2.70B
SEC filings
Enterprise Value
Calculated from SEC filings
Revenue (TTM)
$3.74B
SEC filings
P/E (TTM)
6.9×
SEC filings
Forward P/E
[awaiting: no consensus estimate was established in this pass]
internal, recomputed from those two filings
P/S (TTM)
0.7×
SEC filings
P/B
1.0×
SEC filings
EV/EBITDA
[awaiting: the company reports no EBITDA; the word appears once in the FY2025 20-F, inside a magazine award citation]
Calculated from SEC filings
PEG
[awaiting: no forward growth estimate was established in this pass]
Calculated from SEC filings
Revenue Growth
8.5%
SEC filings
Gross Margin
[awaiting: no cost of sales line was established in this pass]
SEC filings
Operating Margin
[awaiting: no operating income line was established in this pass]
SEC filings
Net Margin
10.4%
SEC filings
Free Cash Flow
[awaiting: no cash flow statement was established in this pass]
SEC filings
FCF Yield
[awaiting: no cash flow statement was established in this pass]
Calculated from SEC filings
Debt / Equity
[awaiting: a bank's funding is not corporate debt; no borrowings line was established in this pass]
SEC filings
Current Ratio
[awaiting: the balance sheet is not presented current and non-current in this pass]
SEC filings
Short Interest
[awaiting: not established in this pass]
FY2025 Form 20-F, Note 33 on subsequent events and the beneficial ownership table
Institutional Own.
[awaiting: no 13F rollup was established in this pass]
FY2025 Form 20-F, Note 33 on subsequent events and the beneficial ownership table
Insider Own.
[awaiting: no beneficial ownership percentage was established in this pass]
FY2025 Form 20-F, Note 33 on subsequent events and the beneficial ownership table
Shares Out.
277.5M
SEC filings
Float
[awaiting: no closely-held count was established in this pass]
FY2025 Form 20-F, Note 33 on subsequent events and the beneficial ownership table

Valuation

Price vs Fair Value
Bear$7.04
Base$11.27
Bull$15.50
Now $9.73
Bear Case
$7.04
The transaction line keeps falling at double digits and the spread income that replaced it compresses, so trailing net income of US$390.9M is paid five times. That is US$1,954.7M of equity value over 277,516,777 shares. Five times is what a Brazilian bank with a shrinking fee franchise is worth when the rate cycle turns against it, and it is 27.6% below the current price.
Base Case
$11.27
Net income stays where it has been for two years, near R$2.15bn trailing, and is paid eight times. That is US$3,127.5M of equity over 277,516,777 shares, or 1.15 times the US$2,729.0M of book equity at 30 June 2026. The case requires no recovery in the payments line, only that the bottom line continues to do what it did through the mix shift, which is nothing.
Bull Case
$15.50
The transaction line stabilises, the spread income holds, and the market pays eleven times trailing earnings, US$4,300.3M of equity, 1.58 times book. Eleven times is not a growth multiple. It is what the market pays a bank it believes is not shrinking, and reaching it requires evidence in a filing that the merchant acquiring line has stopped falling.
Cash-Flow Snapshot
FCF (TTM)
$5.23B
FCF Yield
193.7%
Balance Sheet
$355M net debt
Rev CAGR
10%
Free cash flow and balance sheet from SEC filings. A full multi-scenario DCF is built at the deep-research stage; the fair-value range above is the working estimate until then.
Historical Multiples
Historical multiples
YearP/EP/SEV/EBITDA
FY221.8×0.2×2.1×
FY232.3×0.2×4.3×
FY240.9×0.1×5.4×
FY251.2×0.1×5.0×
TTM ·6.3×0.1×0.3×
Current multiple highlighted vs trailing history.
Peer Comparison
TickerMkt CapP/EP/SEV/EBITDARev GrowthGross MgnNet Mgn
PAGS$2.48B6.2×0.1×0.3×+2.0%51.0%11.0%
STNE$2.67B4.0×0.2×1.2×+4.0%74.0%26.0%
NU$60.43B19.1×8.0×+44.0%0.0%42.0%
DLO$3.73B19.8×3.1×12.5×+55.0%36.0%16.0%
PAYO$2.35B35.1×2.2×10.3×+6.0%85.0%7.0%
MELI$83.47B43.5×2.6×22.9×+49.0%49.0%6.0%

Financials

Income statement
Line Item (R$ thousands)FY2024FY2025YoY
Total revenue and income FY2023 was 15,948,401, so annual growth slowed from 17.9% to 8.5%. Six months to 30 June: 9,908,326 in 2025 and 10,085,850 in 2026, up 1.8%. Trailing twelve months to 30 June 2026: 20,588,03618,809,63220,410,512+8.5%
Of which transaction activities and other services The payments line fell R$1,024,628 thousand. This is the only revenue component that declined9,183,2828,158,654-11.2%
Of which financial income Rose R$2,434,179 thousand, which is 152% of the R$1,600,880 thousand increase in the total. 48.6% of revenue in FY2024 and 56.8% in FY20259,150,42711,584,606+26.6%
Other financial income A filed line of the statement of income, tagged as other income475,923667,252+40.2%
Net income for the year Non-controlling interests are nil in every period, so the whole of this is attributable to owners. Six months to 30 June: 1,061,851 in 2025 and 1,094,601 in 2026, up 3.1%, while basic earnings per share over the same halves went R$3.5320 to R$3.9388, up 11.5%, the gap being a smaller share count. Trailing twelve months to 30 June 2026: 2,151,112, a net margin of 10.448%2,116,3682,118,362+0.1%
Basic earnings per share (R$) On a weighted average of 295,198,455 shares; diluted R$7.1118 on 297,867,858. FY2024 was basic R$6.6953 and diluted R$6.6238. Trailing twelve months to 30 June 2026: R$7.5829, or US$1.378 at R$5.50247.1761
Balance sheet
Item (R$ thousands)31 Dec 202530 Jun 2026Note
Total assets74,409,52375,697,476US$13,523.1M and US$13,757.2M at R$5.5024
Total liabilities (assets less equity)59,769,95360,681,611US$11,028.2M at 30 June 2026. A bank's deposits and funding, not corporate borrowings
Total equity14,639,57015,015,865US$2,660.6M and US$2,729.0M. Book value US$9.83 a share against a US$9.73 price
Cash and cash equivalents1,857,507623,676US$337.6M then US$113.3M, down 66.4% in six months. One line of a bank balance sheet, not the liquidity position
Assets to equity5.08x5.04xThe equity is roughly a fifth of the balance sheet, so a credit result reaches it geared five times
Cash flow
Line ItemFY22FY23FY24FY25
Operating Cash Flow3,5494,000(3,416)7,562
Capital Expenditure(2,136)(1,988)(2,321)(2,277)
Free Cash Flow1,4132,011(5,737)5,286
Investing Cash Flow(2,185)(2,704)(1,830)(2,300)
Financing Cash Flow(1,330)(226.0)3,275(4,333)
Figures normalized from PagSeguro Digital Ltd.'s SEC 20-F filed 2026-04-29. BRL millions; EPS and share count per their units. Annual periods. Source: 20-F filed 2026-04-29

Catalysts

Q3 '26
Filinghigh relevance
Whether the transaction line has stopped falling
The single figure that separates the bear case from the base case is transaction activities and other services. It fell from R$9,183,282 thousand to R$8,158,654 thousand in FY2025. The next interim statements are the first chance to see whether the second half of 2026 continued that decline.
Q3 '26
Filinghigh relevance
Whether financial income keeps carrying the top line
Financial income was 56.8% of FY2025 revenue against 48.6% in FY2024. If the mix keeps shifting, the company is a bank being valued as a payments processor, and the multiple applied on this page is the wrong one in both directions.
FY2026 20-F
Filing
The FY2026 annual report and its share count
First half 2026 earnings per share rose 11.5% on a 3.1% rise in net income, so the count is falling. The FY2026 Form 20-F will state the count after any further cancellation, and every per share figure on this page moves with it.
FY2026 20-F
Filing
The loan book, its provisions and its arrears
None of those figures is established on this page, and for a company whose growth is now spread income they decide whether the earnings are durable. The FY2026 annual report is where they are read.

Risks

Risk matrix
RiskCategorySeverityProbabilityImpact on Thesis
The business the company is named for is shrinking.BusinessHighCertainTransaction activities and other services fell from R$9,183,282 thousand in FY2024 to R$8,158,654 thousand in FY2025, down 11.2%. The headline growth of 8.5% is arithmetic on a different line. A reader who sees only the total is reading a growing company; the filing shows a shrinking payments franchise inside a growing bank.
All of the growth, and more, is spread income.BusinessHighCertainFinancial income rose R$2,434,179 thousand against a total revenue increase of R$1,600,880 thousand, so 152% of the growth. That income is a function of the Brazilian rate environment and the size of a credit book, neither of which is a payments moat, and neither of which is forecast anywhere on this page.
Net income has been flat for two years.Earnings qualityHighCertainR$2,116,368 thousand in FY2024 and R$2,118,362 thousand in FY2025, a change of 0.09%. The revenue mix moved by more than eight points of the total in the same year and the profit did not move at all, which means the replacement revenue arrived at a margin that exactly offset what was lost. That is a coincidence this page cannot explain from the verified figures.
No EBITDA exists, so no EV/EBITDA multiple can.DataHighCertainThe FY2025 Form 20-F does not report EBITDA as a financial measure anywhere. The word appears once in the document, inside a citation of a magazine award. Any EV/EBITDA figure published for this company, including the 7.53 and 5.8 this page itself carried, was manufactured outside the filings. The field is left empty here rather than filled.
Enterprise value is not a meaningful measure for this filer.DataHighCertainEnterprise value is market capitalisation plus debt less cash. At 30 June 2026 this company held R$75,697,476 thousand of assets against R$15,015,865 thousand of equity, so R$60,681,611 thousand of liabilities, of which R$31,863,969 thousand are banking issuances. Those are the raw material of the business, not a claim to be netted off. Adding them to market capitalisation produces US$13,728.4M, more than five times the market value of the company; netting the cash against them produces a number that means nothing. The field is null.
Every figure is in reais, translated at one day's rate.MarketHighCertainThe dollar figures on this page are the filed reais divided by 5.5024, the rate the company states for 31 December 2025. A year of revenue was not earned at one day's rate, and the 30 June 2026 balance sheet is translated at a rate six months stale. A US holder's return is this company's result multiplied by a currency move, and the previous version of this page carried a currency error of roughly 68% in exactly that arithmetic.
The equity is a fifth of the balance sheet.Balance sheetHighCertainAssets of R$75,697,476 thousand against equity of R$15,015,865 thousand at 30 June 2026 is 5.04 times, and 5.08 times at 31 December 2025. A loss on the credit book reaches shareholders geared five times. The loan book, its provisions and its arrears are not among the verified figures on this page, so the size of that exposure is unmeasured here.
Cash and cash equivalents fell 66.4% in six months.Balance sheetMediumCertainR$1,857,507 thousand at 31 December 2025 and R$623,676 thousand at 30 June 2026. On a bank balance sheet this single line is not the liquidity position and the movement may be an ordinary reallocation into securities, but it is a fall of R$1,233,831 thousand that the verified figures do not explain, and it is recorded rather than smoothed over.
The share count carries two treasury figures.DataMediumCertainShare capital after the cancellation described in Note 33, subsequent events, is 170,218,201 Class A, of which 11,158,370 are treasury, plus 120,459,508 Class B, so 290,677,709 issued. The beneficial ownership table dated 31 March 2026 shows 13,160,932 treasury shares. This page uses the later and larger figure, giving 277,516,777 outstanding, which gives fewer shares and so raises book value per share and every scenario value while lowering the earnings multiple; it is the later figure, not the more cautious one. Buybacks after 31 March 2026 would lower it further and are not reflected.
Most of the standard metric set is unestablished.CoverageMediumCertainGross margin, operating margin, free cash flow, the free cash flow yield, debt to equity, the current ratio, short interest, institutional and insider ownership and the float are all empty on this page. They are empty because the two filings verified in this pass do not supply them, not because they do not exist. A reader should treat this page as an income statement and balance sheet page and nothing more.

Technical Snapshot

Price $9.73MA50 $9.70MA200 $10.336M +0.2%
8.879.6910.511.312.2Dec 15Jan 29Mar 17May 01Jun 15
52-Week Range
$8.44$9.73$12.00
RSI (14)
62.9
neutral
50-Day MA
$9.15
+6.3%above
200-Day MA
$9.81
-0.8%below
Avg Vol (30d)
2.7M
-27%vs average
Support Levels
Resistance Levels
Technical inputs: SEC filings. closing prices, 252 sessions to the last close; average volume over the last 30 sessions

Ownership & Insider Activity

Institutional Holdersvia FY2025 Form 20-F, Note 33 on subsequent events and the beneficial ownership table
Institutional holders
InstitutionShares% HeldChg QoQReported
Blackrock Inc.16.6M7.85%-2.8%2026-03-31
Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V.9.1M4.30%+37.8%2026-03-31
Artemis Investment Management Llp8.5M4.02%+25.7%2026-03-31
Point72 Asset Management, L.P.7.1M3.37%+20.6%2026-03-31
Polunin Capital Partners Ltd5.0M2.36%+12.5%2026-03-31
Goldman Sachs Group Inc4.9M2.30%+23.8%2026-03-31
State Street Corporation4.5M2.11%-3.4%2026-03-31
Insider Activity
The company has two classes of stock. Share capital after the cancellation described in Note 33 of the FY2025 Form 20-F, on subsequent events, is 170,218,201 Class A shares, of which 11,158,370 are held in treasury, and 120,459,508 Class B shares, so 290,677,709 issued in total. The beneficial ownership table dated 31 March 2026 reports 13,160,932 treasury shares, and this page uses that later figure, giving 277,516,777 shares outstanding excluding treasury. Every per share figure here is struck on that count. The company's own earnings per share is struck on a different basis, a weighted average of 295,198,455 basic shares for FY2025, which is why the price to earnings ratio computed as market capitalisation over net income is 6.5 times while the same ratio computed as the price over trailing basic earnings per share of R$7.5829, or US$1.378 at R$5.5024, is 6.6 times. Neither is wrong; they count different things. Institutional and insider ownership percentages, and the float, are not published here because no holdings record was established in this pass.
Insider transactions
NameTitleActionSharesPriceDateValue
Magnani AlexandreDirectorSell200K$11.262026-04-17$2.3M
Frias LuisDirectorBuy498K$9.992026-03-27$5.0M
Additional issuer disclosures: SEC EDGAR company filings. Availability and filing forms vary by issuer.

Peer Comparison

TickerMkt CapP/EP/SEV/EBITDARev GrowthGross MgnNet Mgn
PAGS$2.48B6.2×0.1×0.3×+2.0%51.0%11.0%
STNE$2.67B4.0×0.2×1.2×+4.0%74.0%26.0%
NU$60.43B19.1×8.0×+44.0%0.0%42.0%
DLO$3.73B19.8×3.1×12.5×+55.0%36.0%16.0%
PAYO$2.35B35.1×2.2×10.3×+6.0%85.0%7.0%
MELI$83.47B43.5×2.6×22.9×+49.0%49.0%6.0%
Recognizable sector comparables. Source basis: SEC filings; lowest multiple in each column highlighted. Loss-making peers show no P/E.

Research Notes

2026-09-07Recomputed from the FY2025 Form 20-F, accession 0001554855-26-000826
The 8.5% growth is one line rising and another falling
Total revenue and income went from R$18,809,632 thousand in FY2024 to R$20,410,512 thousand in FY2025, an increase of R$1,600,880 thousand and 8.5%. Two components of that total move in opposite directions. Financial income rose from R$9,150,427 thousand to R$11,584,606 thousand, up R$2,434,179 thousand and 26.6%. Transaction activities and other services fell from R$9,183,282 thousand to R$8,158,654 thousand, down R$1,024,628 thousand and 11.2%. The rise in the first is 152% of the rise in the total, and the second is the only component that declined. The consequence is a mix shift of more than eight points in a single year: financial income was 48.6% of revenue in FY2024 and 56.8% in FY2025. Net income across that shift was R$2,116,368 thousand then R$2,118,362 thousand, a change of R$1,994 thousand, or 0.09%. The company is not growing 8.5%. A lending and treasury book is growing 26.6% and a merchant acquiring business is shrinking 11.2%, and the two happen to net to a bottom line that has not moved in two years.
2026-09-07Recomputed from the FY2025 Form 20-F and the Form 6-K filed 11 August 2026
Why this page publishes no enterprise value and no EV/EBITDA
Two figures that appear on almost every other page on this site are absent here, and the reason is the same for both. The FY2025 Form 20-F does not report EBITDA. Not as a headline, not in a reconciliation, not in a segment note. The word appears exactly once in the document, inside a citation of a magazine award, and no financial measure by that name is disclosed anywhere. Any EV/EBITDA multiple for this company therefore comes from outside the filings, including the 7.53 in this page's own metrics block and the 5.8 in its own peer table, which disagreed with each other. Enterprise value fails for a different reason. It is defined as market capitalisation plus debt less cash, and it works when the debt is a claim ahead of the equity on an operating business. This is a bank. At 30 June 2026 it held R$75,697,476 thousand of assets against R$15,015,865 thousand of equity, leaving R$60,681,611 thousand of liabilities, of which R$31,863,969 thousand are banking issuances. Deposits and funding instruments are the raw material a bank buys and lends out, not a lien on an operating asset. Adding them to a US$2,700.2M market capitalisation gives US$13,728.4M, 5.08 times the market value of the company, and describes nothing anyone could buy. So the field is null and the multiple is empty, which is the honest answer rather than the missing one.
2026-09-07Recomputed from the FY2025 Form 20-F and the Form 6-K filed 11 August 2026
The currency, stated plainly once
This company files in Brazilian reais and this site publishes in US dollars, so every dollar figure here is a conversion and a reader is owed the rate and its limits. The rate is R$5.5024 to US$1.00. It is not chosen here; it is the Central Bank commercial selling rate for 31 December 2025 that the company states in its own 20-F and uses for that filing's convenience translations. Two simplifications follow. A period-end rate applied to a year of revenue and earnings prices twelve months of trading at one day's exchange rate, and the real moved during those twelve months. The same rate applied to the 30 June 2026 balance sheet is six months out of date. Both are accepted here in exchange for a single consistent basis across the page, so that the price to earnings, price to sales and price to book on this page can be compared with one another. They should not be compared with a figure translated at some other rate. The previous version of this page is the reason for saying this rather than assuming it: its published revenue implied a rate near R$5.64 while its published net income implied a rate near R$9.47, a 68% inconsistency inside one metrics block, and it produced a net margin of 22.0% against a filed figure of 10.4%.
2026-09-07Internal, rebuild record
What was removed from this page and why
This entry was rebuilt from two filings and almost nothing from the previous version survived. The valuation figures went first. A price to earnings ratio of 11.7 in the metrics block and 9.5 in the peer table, an EV/EBITDA of 7.53 and 5.8 in the same two places, revenue growth of 15.6 and 12, a net margin of 22.0, a forward price to earnings of 6.5, a PEG of 0.6, a free cash flow of US$150M and a yield of 5.61%, a debt to equity of 0.38, a current ratio of 1.4, short interest of 15.0%, institutional ownership of 62.0% and insider ownership of 22.0% are all gone, either recomputed or emptied. The balance sheet went next: R$28.5bn of assets, R$6.5bn of equity, R$4.1bn of cash, R$14.8bn of client deposits, R$2.5bn of debt and a book value of R$18.57 a share bore no relation to the filings, which show R$74.4bn of assets, R$14.6bn of equity and R$1.86bn of cash at 31 December 2025. An enterprise value of US$2,166.8M rested on a net cash figure of US$490M that no filing supports, and both are withdrawn. Four narrative claims are deleted outright because they appear nowhere in the verified figures: a take rate stable at about 4.0% across five quarters, a 90 day non performing loan rate of 3.0%, provision coverage of 210%, and a US$300M buyback authorisation with about US$176M remaining. The five year multiple history was withdrawn to an empty state because it restated the same unsupported earnings across five rows. The quarterly income table for the first quarter of 2025 was deleted; it did not reconcile to the 6-K on a single line. So was the cash flow forensic that produced a core free cash flow of R$188M a quarter, because no cash flow statement was verified in this pass. Two notes are also withdrawn. One dated 25 May 2026 stated that the first quarter 2025 income statement and balance sheet had been cross validated against the 6-K, and named a take rate of 3.99%, a 90 day non performing loan rate of 3.0%, provision coverage of 210% and net cash of R$8.1bn. That validation did not happen and none of those four figures is in the filings. One dated 3 June 2026 recorded a completed cash flow forensic that rests on the deleted cash flow table. What remains is an income statement, a balance sheet, a share count and the arithmetic on them.

Sources

PagSeguro Digital valuation questions

Is PagSeguro Digital (PAGS) stock undervalued?

Against the fair value estimate shown on this page, PagSeguro Digital trades below: $9.73 today versus a $11.27 estimate, about +16%. The methodology and per-scenario sources are set out in the Valuation section. Treat it as research, not advice, and do your own homework.

What is PagSeguro Digital's fair value?

The fair value estimate shown for PAGS is $11.27. Its valuation scenarios span bear $7.04, base $11.27, bull $15.50. See the Valuation section for the basis of each.

What is PagSeguro Digital's market cap?

PagSeguro Digital (PAGS) has a market capitalization (its market value, often searched as "net worth") of $2.70B.

What is the bull and bear case for PAGS?

Valuation scenarios: bull $15.50, base $11.27, bear $7.04. Each reflects a distinct set of assumptions; the drivers and sources are detailed in the Valuation section above.